The Death Of Moore’s Law
From <http://www.theregister.co.uk/2018/01/24/death_notice_for_moores_law/>: The computer science behind microprocessor design has therefore found itself making a rapid U-turn as it learns that its optimisation techniques can be weaponised. ... Hammered by the finance of physics and the weaponisation of optimisation, Moore’s Law has hit the wall, bounced off - and reversed direction. We’re driving backwards now: all things IT will become slower, harder and more expensive. Actually economics probably had more to do with it than physics, as PC sales have been slowing over the past decade.
On Wed, Jan 24, 2018 at 09:02:50PM +1300, Lawrence D'Oliveiro wrote:
From <http://www.theregister.co.uk/2018/01/24/death_notice_for_moores_law/>:
The computer science behind microprocessor design has therefore found itself making a rapid U-turn as it learns that its optimisation techniques can be weaponised.
...
Hammered by the finance of physics and the weaponisation of optimisation, Moore’s Law has hit the wall, bounced off - and reversed direction. We’re driving backwards now: all things IT will become slower, harder and more expensive.
And the register has misrepresented Moore's law, which is a law about the number of transistors in a microprocessor, not about its performance. Cheers Michael.
On Wed, 24 Jan 2018 21:49:26 +1300, Michael Cree wrote:
And the register has misrepresented Moore's law, which is a law about the number of transistors in a microprocessor, not about its performance.
Only partly. Comments like “While [the semiconductor industry] created new process nodes like clockwork, the capital requirements to develop those new devices climbed nearly exponentially” are very much to the point: Moore’s Law (transistor density) meets Rock’s Law (the ever-increasing price of a fab).
participants (2)
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Lawrence D'Oliveiro -
Michael Cree